Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FORTH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 1.992352 2.089978 2.193823 2.313246 2.447751 2.595747 2.772605
2025-07-13 1.899788 2.028803 2.171735 2.343941 2.548850 2.789141 3.099271
2025-07-20 1.853222 2.006547 2.181941 2.401514 2.675507 3.016211 3.490893
2025-07-27 1.790049 1.956840 2.152011 2.403285 2.728410 3.152170 3.782757
2025-08-03 1.739081 1.916334 2.127735 2.406566 2.779199 3.286650 4.092817
2025-08-10 1.666944 1.845343 2.060492 2.348385 2.740801 3.290215 4.201924
2025-08-17 1.623283 1.806530 2.030378 2.335005 2.760148 3.376044 4.457223
2025-08-24 1.585165 1.772388 2.003728 2.323403 2.779414 3.461948 4.730109
2025-08-31 1.551391 1.741947 1.979857 2.313264 2.798714 3.548587 5.024927
2025-09-07 1.530572 1.726757 1.974597 2.327592 2.854119 3.699252 5.492743
2025-09-14 1.481459 1.673517 1.916928 2.265172 2.788149 3.636892 5.479183
2025-09-21 1.456614 1.650733 1.898733 2.257541 2.805696 3.720925 5.831318
2025-09-28 1.419041 1.611167 1.857777 2.216948 2.771326 3.713181 5.970885
2025-10-05 1.409060 1.607139 1.864324 2.245089 2.848173 3.919937 6.780655
2025-10-12 1.408133 1.614762 1.886745 2.297509 2.969405 4.235880 8.201170
2025-10-19 1.390153 1.598977 1.875983 2.299138 3.004534 4.383135 9.209255
2025-10-26 1.373699 1.584659 1.866600 2.302125 3.041942 4.542646 10.519204
2025-11-02 1.340251 1.546549 1.822478 2.249221 2.975586 4.455018 10.436730
2025-11-09 1.321226 1.527545 1.804880 2.237035 2.982156 4.540308 11.528975
2025-11-16 1.303639 1.510039 1.788830 2.226462 2.990730 4.632267 12.912546
2025-11-23 1.287291 1.493811 1.774083 2.217217 3.000949 4.730656 14.718353
2025-11-30 1.278466 1.487597 1.773421 2.230279 3.054121 4.952358 19.181532
2025-12-07 1.249325 1.452822 1.730515 2.173309 2.968342 4.782438 17.519864